(Editors note- As I was getting ready to publish, the news that Horner is keeping his job went public. Some of the content below covers what a post Horner Red Bull would have looked like.)
The 2024 F1 season is officially here and fans the world over are anxiously waiting to find out………Who will Mercedes hire to replace Lewis, will Checo keep his Red Bull seat, where will Sainz land, will Horner get sacked at Red Bull for inappropriate behavior, can Lewis and Ferrari win in ‘25?? Yes, 2024 is officially the year of The Silly Season. Barring some really bizarre circumstances, it’s a foregone conclusion that Max will cruise to a 4th world title so let’s just crown the champ now and get into the good gossip!
I have to confess, I will still attempt to watch every single lap of every race, Max domination or not, but I’m more excited for the game of musical chairs that is about to take place than spending 100+ hours on the couch watching Max look like he’s on a Sunday drive along the coast. F1 has always been part sport, part soap opera, and this season is shaping up to be a Netflix directors fantasy. I spent the better part of an hour last night watching the sad plight of Nyck de Vries in his failed Alpha Tauri rookie season in the latest Drive To Survive episode 2, so can you imagine how dramatic it will feel when the heavyweights start swapping around? Move over Kardashians! Similar to what the NBA is experiencing at the moment, the actual race broadcast numbers will likely decline drastically due to the predictable outcomes over 24 races, but social engagement through the various platforms should go through the roof when some spicy news hits the wire. Is there a media insider who breaks the news before the teams announce it? I want Ted Kravitz dropping Twitter (X) bombs.
To recap, this all got started when Lewis Hamilton shocked the world and announced that after 10 years and 6 world titles with Mercedes, he was trading his silver overalls at the end of the year for the red of Ferrari in 2025. Interesting side note, after Ferrari announced the signing, their stock price jumped 12%, adding $10 billion in market cap. Do you think Lewis deserves a raise? On top of this, Red Bull has very publicly stated that Perez must improve his performance over the second part of last year or he is out. Can you imagine, a Mercedes and a Red Bull seat up for grabs at the same time?
This thought calls for a fantasy timeout: The worst case scenario is that Sainz signs with Mercedes and Perez does enough to keep his seat at Red Bull. This would crush dreams and put the silly season to rest in seconds. However, let’s say that Sainz does decide that he is the man to spearhead the Audi F1 project into the future and Perez buckles under the Red Bull pressure, then, oh yes, we would be looking at full scale change of epic proportions.
Under this scenario, here is how I envision it all playing out:
Two things that seem solid for ‘25 is Ferrari will have Hamilton and Leclerc and McLaren will have Norris and Piastri. From there, let’s get crazy.
Mercedes – Toto smiles that devilish grin and mutters “Fuck You Lewis” under his breath as he signs Fernando Alonso to a two year deal to team up with George Russell.
Red Bull does a deep dive into its past drivers Sainz, Danny Ric, Gasly and Albon and comes to the conclusion that it’s none other than Sainz who they have been missing all these years. Max, now firmly confident in his place within the team, green lights the move for Carlos to come home.
Aston Martin – Lawrence Stroll, feeling the strain of world domination slipping from his fingers, signs Pierre Gasly to replace Alsono and tells son Lance that ‘25 will be his last year before moving into management to make way for Honda’s golden boy, Yuki Tsunoda.
Alpine- Fading into irrelevance, Alpine do the sensible thing and promote academy driver Jack Doohan to team with Ocon.
Visa Cash App RB (VCARB): After finding that Yuki is going with Honda to Aston in ‘26, VCARB promote Liam Lawson to team with the always smiling Danny Ric, forming a Down Under super team.
Sauber-Stake-Audi: Planning for the future, Audi start working behind the scenes and pry Alex Albon out of his Williams contract while signing Nico Hulkenberg to be their initial guys to launch their assault on the F1 world championship.
Williams: Seeing the value in Checo as a development driver and North American sponsor magnate, Williams bring in Perez to be the benchmark for young Kimi Antonelli, on loan from Toto for two years.
Haas – Picking last after all the moves have been made, Haas go with Ferrari academy driver Ollie Bearman to team with the veteran Kevin Magnussen.
In this world, Bottas, Zhou, and Logan Sargeant are left without seats while Yuki spends ‘25 on the sidelines. Will this happen? No way, but I’d love to see it.
So, back to this business of F1 racing, 2024 style. We know that Max will be the champ and could conceivably win another 20+ races, but after that, there is a fascinating eight man battle shaping up for second. Ferrari, Mercedes, McLaren, Perez and Alonso all fighting to fill out the podium will be my focus for the season. Even if Max is some twenty seconds up the road, the thought of drivers and teams of this caliber duking it out should make for fun tv. In fact, I’m hoping that Oracle will be left disappointed with their tv exposure figures because the world feed director will spend the majority of the show riveted to this pack of eight. Max can watch from the trackside screens like the rest of us if he wants to feel involved.
Why will it be so close (for second, of course)? This is year 3 of rules stability and the word of the day that you will likely see thrown around is Convergence. The teams have all had three years to copy each other, hence bringing about convergence from top to bottom, and with zero driver turnover this past year, the engineers have hopefully been able to take the drivers feedback and come up with solutions that plagued their ‘23 cars. The Ferrari should be nicer to its tires, the Mercedes more predictable on turn in, the McLarens better mid corner and the Aston faster in a straight line. It’s just too bad that Red Bull appear to have come up with a revolutionary design that has measurably improved upon the all conquering RB19.
Either way, It will be exciting to watch these guys go into Q2 and Q3 with zero margin for error and then get after it on Sundays. And if racing for 10th place is your thing, then you are in for a big year! The 8-pack plus Max equals 9, so we should have the rest of the grid scratching and clawing for that elusive single point awarded to 10th. (Note – If this sounds boring and you enjoy watching racing to see dramatic finishes for victory, then I recommend watching Moto3 motorcycle racing or go visit your local dirt or kart track.)
Now it’s time for Bulseyeview Wants To Know brought to you by The Onion | America’s Finest News Source:
Red Bull – Will Perez buckle under the pressure of being the perfect #2? Will there be an exodus if Horner is forced to resign? Did they get too greedy in coming up with a unique new design rather than sticking with an evolution of the old 22 out of 23 race winning warhorse?
Mercedes – At what point do they start to phase out Lewis and put all of their energies and development bits into Russell’s side of the garage? Who the heck are they going to sign? Do they have the engineering staff in place to regain the upper hand come 2026?
Ferrari – Have they found a solution for their long run tire woes? Same as above regarding Hamilton, at what point do they phase out Sainz? After pulling off the Hamilton signing coup, can Fred Vasseur assemble the technical team to return Ferrari to glory?
McLaren – Will they start the year on competitive footing to make a run at second in the constructors race? Will Piastri make the 2nd year leap and give Norris a real fight for inter team superiority? Can Zak Brown set the record for most blue chip sponsors on the side of a car?
Aston Martin – Will Lawrence Stroll be able to accept being a 5th place team or will he tire of mediocrity and cut bait? Can Lance close the massive gap to Alonso? And if not, does he keep his seat as long as pops owns the team?
Alpine – Who will emerge as the victor in the Ocon v Gasly battle? Who is now managing this team and will they last a season? Is the Renault board still all in on F1 knowing they could sell the team for a massive sum?
VCARB – Can Danny Ric get the upper hand on year 4 Yuki? Will this be the surprise team who claim a fighting 5th in the constructors championship?
Stake – Will the Sauber gang do anything noteworthy this year?
Williams – Will Sargeant become a respectable F1 driver this season in year 2? Is James Vowles the man to lead Williams back into the hunt for race wins? Can the team retain Albon if they show significant gains?
Haas – When will Gene give up the fight and sell? (Andretti-Cadillac anyone?).
With that, here is a Bold Claim:
Horner gets fired, causing Adrian Newey to rethink his place within the team and the world at large. He’s conquered the world with Williams, McLaren and Red Bull, but there is one team outside of England who is the grandest of them all. They just signed Lewis Hamilton. Winter and spring in Italy are lovely. The food and wine in the region is excellent. The cycling and motorcycling is about perfect. Maybe, this would be a fun chapter to close out a glorious F1 career?
Fast Forward to 2029: After Verstappen easily won the ‘24 and ‘25 titles, the Adrian Newey penned ‘26 Ferrari came out and decimated the field, allowing Lewis Hamilton to win his coveted 8th WDC. Struggling to get anywhere near the pace of the Ferrari in the Red Bull-Ford entry, team Verstappen forced their way out of Red Bull and into the arms of Vasseur to partner Hamilton. (And cue to the Prost v Senna ‘88 documentary). In ‘27, Max reasserted his dominance to win his 6th title with little resistance from Hamilton. In ‘28, Lewis dug deep and used canny old man Niki Lauda style tricks to get into the head of Max, who made a series of bizarre driving errors, allowing Hamilton to steal #9 and retire as the GOAT.
(Note – The GOAT designation didn’t last long because starting in ‘29, Google F1 entered their AI designed car piloted by Lighting Bigsby, the best AI pilot the world has ever seen, and won an astonishing 734 races in a row without ever making a single mistake. The podium celebrations became slightly awkward but Google remedied it by placing a cute robot into the cockpit who would then go up to the podium and was capable of spraying champagne. Google even came up with their own company anthem that accompanied each win).
Should I send this idea to the Brad Pitt movie team to save them from making another version of Driven?
Here are the picks:
Verstappen – 19 wins
Perez – 2 wins
Leclerc – 1 win
Russell – 1 win
Hamilton
Sainz – 1 win
Norris
Alonso
Piastri
Danny Ric
Stroll
Tsunoda
Gasly
Ocon
Albon
Bottas
Zhou
Hulkenberg
Sargeant
Magnussen
Do yourself a favor and check out the MotoGP Ducati wars and don’t forget to support your local Indycar series. Here’s to a safe and exciting season!